International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Tarczyński Arena
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Jakub Kamiński 46' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Kapustka 46' yellowcard
  • Karol Świderski 46' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Żukowski 46' yellowcard
  • Oskar Wojcik 46' yellowcard
  • Filip Rózga 59' yellowcard
  • Norbert Wojtuszek 59' yellowcard
  • Kacper Potulski 74' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 87' yellowcard
  • goal Roman Yaremchuk 34'
  • goal Andriy Yarmolenko 44'
  • yellowcard Valeriy Bondar 46'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Nazarenko 56'
  • yellowcard Mykola Shaparenko 56'
  • yellowcard Matviy Ponomarenko 56'
  • yellowcard Matviy Ponomarenko 57'
  • yellowcard Gennadiy Synchuk 75'
  • yellowcard Artem Bondarenko 82'

Poland vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Ukraine

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Ukraine 1 - 0 Albania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Poland 52.22% (-0.04)
Draw 23.56% (+0.01)
Ukraine 24.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.35% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.71% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 19.29% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 59.27%
Under 2.5 40.73%
Over 3.5 36.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.27% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 22.39% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 77.61% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Poland 37.91% (-0.02)
Draw 40.61% (+0.01)
Ukraine 21.47% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Poland 56.22%
No Goal 5.03%
Ukraine 38.75%

Corners

Over 8 56.11%
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 32.29%
Over 9 44.43%
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 43.89%
Over 10.5 33.66%
Under 10.5 66.34%

Poland Goals

Over 1.5 53.86% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 46.14% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 27.39% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 72.61% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.71%
Under 3.5 88.29%

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 62.45% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 37.55% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 30.44% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.56% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.12% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.88% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.44% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.56% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Poland 52.22%
Draw 23.55%
Ukraine 24.2%
Poland
2-1 @ 10.23% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.68%
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 11.34%
Total : 52.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.55%
Ukraine
1-2 @ 6.27% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.07% (-0.02)
Total : 24.2%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadion Slaski
  • Sebastian Walukiewicz 11' goal
  • Piotr Zielinski 16' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 30' goal
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 41'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Tymchyk 49'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 56'
  • yellowcard Maksym Talovierov 86'
International Friendlies
Nov 11, 2020 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Slaski
  • Krzysztof Piatek 40' goal
  • Jacek Goralski 44' yellowcard
  • Jakub Moder 63' goal
  • yellowcard Ihor Kharatin 61'
International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2020 7.45pm
European Championship
Jun 21, 2016 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Ruslan Rotan 25' yellowcard
  • Olexandr Kucher 38' yellowcard
  • goal Jakub Blaszczykowski 54'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Kapustka 60'
World Cup
Oct 11, 2013 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Taras Stepanenko 3' yellowcard
  • Edmar 8' yellowcard
  • Yaroslav Rakitskiy 55' yellowcard
  • Andriy Yarmolenko 64' goal
  • Yevhen Khacheridi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Slawomir Peszko 79'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Sczcesny 82'
World Cup
Mar 22, 2013 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Lukasz Piszczek 0' goal
  • goal Andriy Yarmolenko 0'
  • goal Oleh Gusev 0'
  • goal Roman Zozulya 0'