Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.