Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.4%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 1-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.