MX23RW : Saturday, November 30 23:46:28| >> :60:241:241:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 4, 2023 at 12pm UK
Franso Hariri Stadium

Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 - 2
AGMK

Abdul-Amir (14'), Atchou (15'), Qasim (42')
Raed (68'), Razzaq Farhan (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mirakhmadov (62'), Boakye (90+4')
Mirakhmadov (74')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and AGMK.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sepahan 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: AGMK 1-2 Al Ittihad
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for AGMK had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for an AGMK win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Quwa Al Jawiya would win this match.

Result
Al Quwa Al JawiyaDrawAGMK
52% (-3.388 -3.39) 24.85% (1.289 1.29) 23.15% (2.102 2.1)
Both teams to score 50.33% (-1.22 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (-2.969 -2.97)51.71% (2.972 2.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (-2.638 -2.64)73.49% (2.64 2.64)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-2.422 -2.42)19.87% (2.425 2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (-4.069 -4.07)51.98% (4.071 4.07)
AGMK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (0.369 0.37)37.18% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.03% (0.362 0.36)73.97% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Al Quwa Al Jawiya 52%
    AGMK 23.15%
    Draw 24.85%
Al Quwa Al JawiyaDrawAGMK
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.51 0.51)
2-0 @ 9.65% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.616 -0.62)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.552 -0.55)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.245 -0.25)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.437 -0.44)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.408 -0.41)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.61 0.61)
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.837 0.84)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.893 0.89)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.355 0.36)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.473 0.47)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 23.15%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
AGMK
1-2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Haghnazari (81')
Kosimov (77'), Rustamov (84')
Jasim Elaibi Al Tameemi (2'), Tursunov (48' og.)
Hanoon (36')
rhs 2.0
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9Aston Villa125431919019
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
11Bournemouth135352019118
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13Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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