Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, November 21 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
for
Sunday, November 17 at 2pm in Women's Super League
We said: Arsenal Women 3-1 Aston Villa Women
Arsenal will be full of confidence after claiming six wins in Slegers's seven matches in charge, and we think that they will pick up from where they left off before the international break to claim a comfortable victory in Sunday's league fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 6.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
81.66% ( 0.05) | 11.88% ( -0.03) | 6.46% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.75% ( 0.02) | 29.24% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.72% ( 0.02) | 50.28% ( -0.02) |
Arsenal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.63% ( 0.01) | 5.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.94% ( 0.03) | 21.05% ( -0.04) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.96% ( -0.07) | 48.04% ( 0.06) |