Monaco

2 - 3

Benfica

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.