Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
49.7% ( 0.3) | 23.76% ( -0.02) | 26.53% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 57.26% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( -0.12) | 44.21% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.41% ( -0.11) | 66.59% ( 0.11) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.11% ( 0.07) | 17.88% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.33% ( 0.12) | 48.66% ( -0.12) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( -0.27) | 30.26% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( -0.32) | 66.43% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 26.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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