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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Leyton Orient

Bolton
3 - 2
Leyton Orient

Cogley (3'), Charles (7'), Thomason (10')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Forde (55'), Archibald (60')
Sotiriou (45+4'), James (53'), Archibald (57'), Happe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Leyton Orient

Bolton won six straight competitive home games prior to last Saturday's defeat to Bristol Rovers, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to return to winning ways against Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawLeyton Orient
55.42% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 23.05% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 21.52% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)46.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)68.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)16.46% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)46.16% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 55.42%
    Leyton Orient 21.52%
    Draw 23.05%
Bolton WanderersDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Bolton vs Leyton Orient

Bolton Wanderers
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Leyton Orient
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
2-0
Leyton Orient
Brophy (67' og.), Doyle (69')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
Leyton Orient
4-0
Bolton
Johnson (8'), McAnuff (41'), Wilkinson (44'), Clay (57')
Cisse (79')

Sarcevic (13'), Santos (43'), White (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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