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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Morecambe |
58.29% ( 0.16) | 21.58% ( -0.03) | 20.13% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.64% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.71% ( -0.06) | 41.29% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.31% ( -0.06) | 63.69% ( 0.06) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.1% ( 0.03) | 13.89% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.68% ( 0.06) | 41.32% ( -0.06) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% ( -0.17) | 34.21% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% ( -0.18) | 70.91% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 58.29% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 20.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |