Although Cambridge are sitting seven places lower than their opponents, they would have taken confidence from Friday's victory.
With their League One status at stake, the U's may also have an extra piece of motivation to claim maximum points, and we think that they will do enough to edge out a Wigan side that has lost three of their previous four away games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.09) 
