NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Carrick1 - 2Larne
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Carrick
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Larne 1-0 Loughgall
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 68.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
Result | ||
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Larne |
12.49% ( 0.51) | 19.35% ( 0.53) | 68.17% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 46.73% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.27% ( -1.07) | 45.72% ( 1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.95% ( -1.02) | 68.04% ( 1.02) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.33% ( 0.18) | 46.67% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.76% ( 0.14) | 82.24% ( -0.13) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.62% ( -0.6) | 12.37% ( 0.6) |