MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 14:11:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
1 - 2
Larne

Allen (78')
Forsythe (42'), Crowe (57'), Purkis (64'), Gordon (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (27'), Ryan (76')
Ives (65'), Thomson (77'), Orozco (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Carrick
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-0 Loughgall
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 68.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
12.49% (0.507 0.51) 19.35% (0.531 0.53) 68.17% (-1.035 -1.04)
Both teams to score 46.73% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-1.065 -1.07)45.72% (1.068 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-1.02 -1.02)68.04% (1.023 1.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.33% (0.18 0.18)46.67% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.76% (0.136 0.14)82.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (-0.596 -0.6)12.37% (0.599 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.77% (-1.261 -1.26)38.23% (1.264 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 12.49%
    Larne 68.15%
    Draw 19.35%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 4.4% (0.218 0.22)
2-1 @ 3.5% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 12.49%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.248 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.259 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 19.35%
0-2 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 12.06% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 8.78% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-3 @ 6.69% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-4 @ 4.59% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-4 @ 3.5% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.92% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.46% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 68.15%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Larne
2-0
Carrick
Cosgrove (16'), O'Neill (84')
Donnelly (32'), Want (65')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Larne
4-1
Carrick
O'Neill (15', 78'), Ryan (31', 44')
Ives (34'), Bolger (44')
Purkis (60')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carrick
2-3
Larne
Cherry (64', 90+1' pen.)
Ryan (61'), O'Neill (75', 79')
Dec 26, 2022 5.30pm
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Carrick
0-1
Larne
Gordon (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville168352216627
3GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
4Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
5Dungannon SwiftsDungannon178272321226
6ColeraineColeraine177462822625
7PortadownPortadown167452317625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick164391828-1015
11GlenavonGlenavon173681124-1315
12Loughgall1732121842-2411


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