NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Carrick2 - 1Loughgall
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Loughgall.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Carrick
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
50
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Loughgall
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
55
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.
Result | ||
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Loughgall |
43.14% ( -0.02) | 24.52% ( 0) | 32.33% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.44% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.66% ( -0.01) | 44.34% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.28% ( -0.01) | 66.71% ( 0.02) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.34% ( -0.01) | 20.66% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.76% ( -0.02) | 53.24% ( 0.03) |
Loughgall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( 0) | 26.34% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.51% ( 0) | 61.48% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Carrick Rangers 43.14%
Loughgall 32.33%
Draw 24.51%
Carrick Rangers | Draw | Loughgall |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.14% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.33% |
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Loughgall
3-3
Carrick
Hoey (38', 77'), Ferris (90+1')
Carroll (40'), Magee (67'), Ferris (90+2')
Carroll (40'), Magee (67'), Ferris (90+2')
Teelan (34'), Purkis (41', 46')
Buchanan-Rolleston (45+3'), Purkis (74'), Gordon (90+2')
Buchanan-Rolleston (45+3'), Purkis (74'), Gordon (90+2')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carrick
2-2
Loughgall
Mackinnon (41'), Purkis (74')
Gordon (37'), Glendinning (70'), Cushley (78'), McGuckin (90+2'), McGuckin (90+2')
Gordon (37'), Glendinning (70'), Cushley (78'), McGuckin (90+2'), McGuckin (90+2')
Boyd (49'), Magee (71')
Boyd (16'), Murdock (39'), Gibson (42'), Loughran (44'), Kelly (83')
Boyd (16'), Murdock (39'), Gibson (42'), Loughran (44'), Kelly (83')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Loughgall
3-4
Carrick
Forsythe (16' og.), Hoey (63'), Magee (77')
Kelly (10'), Loughran (53'), Cartwright (57')
Kelly (89')
Kelly (10'), Loughran (53'), Cartwright (57')
Kelly (89')
Forsythe (29'), Allen (37', 72'), Macuilaitis (40')
Surgenor (10'), Mackinnon (87'), McGuckin (89')
Surgenor (10'), Mackinnon (87'), McGuckin (89')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | LinfieldLinfield | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 35 |
2 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
3 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 29 |
4 | PortadownPortadown | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
5 | GlentoranGlentoran | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 27 |
6 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
7 | ColeraineColeraine | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
8 | CrusadersCrusaders | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
9 | LarneLarne | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 15 |
11 | GlenavonGlenavon | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 15 |
12 | Loughgall | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 11 |
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