We said: Charlton Athletic 2-1 Blackpool
Charlton have been superb defensively this season, and they appear to have a knack of just getting over the line which could once again serve them well this weekend.
While the Tangerines won their first league game under their new manager, it could be a step too far to see them go to the Valley and pick up a result against a Charlton side that are playing with confidence.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.