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National League South | Gameweek 12
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
0 - 1
Worthing

FT(HT: 0-0)
Wadham (87')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Aveley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawWorthing
41.15% (1.776 1.78) 26.43% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03) 32.42% (-1.745 -1.75)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42% (-0.245 -0.25)52.58% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (-0.21 -0.21)74.23% (0.212 0.21)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.83200000000001 0.83)25.2% (-0.832 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (1.134 1.13)59.94% (-1.133 -1.13)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (-1.253 -1.25)30.34% (1.255 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (-1.522 -1.52)66.53% (1.524 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 41.14%
    Worthing 32.42%
    Draw 26.43%
Chelmsford CityDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.405 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.181 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.26 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.12% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.275 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.335 -0.34)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.42%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Worthing
2-3
Chelmsford City
Pearce (26', 90+6')
Hockey (1'), Ruff (18'), Francis (83')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Chelmsford City
4-2
Worthing
Trotter (37'), Folivi (49'), Krasniqi (83' pen.), Hockey (89')
Pearce (11', 45+3')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Worthing
1-3
Chelmsford City
Kealy (35')
Yearn (21'), James (24'), Blackwell (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd21117332191340
2Boreham WoodBoreham Wood21116436171939
3Weston-super-MareWeston21116434231139
4Truro CityTruro City21115533191438
5Dorking WanderersDorking22107544311337
6Farnborough TownFarnborough2111373530536
7Worthing2110653330336
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2110652926336
9Maidstone UnitedMaidstone208932920933
10Slough TownSlough2195738271132
11Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels198742621531
12AFC HornchurchHornchurch218762321231
13Hampton & RichmondHampton218672922730
14Chesham UnitedChesham198473029128
15Chelmsford CityChelmsford City206773532325
16Chippenham TownChippenham2174102627-125
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2274112945-1625
18Welling UnitedWelling United2173112337-1424
19Salisbury205692831-321
20Bath City2154121529-1419
21Aveley2143142539-1415
22Enfield Town2143142246-2415
23St Albans CitySt Albans City2128112136-1514
24Weymouth2026121230-1812


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