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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
FC Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Shaqiri (45' pen.)
Acosta (55'), Pineda (66'), Gutierrez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boupendza (39'), Robinson (68')
Nwobodo (43'), Bucha (81'), Baird (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-0 Cavalier
Thursday, February 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Chicago Fire 2-2 FC Cincinnati

Both sides have certainly shown they have goals in them, and we expect a highly-entertaining clash here. That said, we can see the teams cancelling each other out over the 90 minutes and settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
36.4% (-0.394 -0.39) 24.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 39.23% (0.357 0.36)
Both teams to score 60.02% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.29% (-0.228 -0.23)42.72% (0.231 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (-0.229 -0.23)65.12% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.313 -0.31)23.25% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.459 -0.46)57.16% (0.462 0.46)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.075999999999993 0.08)21.8% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (0.113 0.11)55.01% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 36.4%
    FC Cincinnati 39.23%
    Draw 24.37%
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 36.4%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.23%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Cincinnati
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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