Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.