After ending last season as the league's top scorers, Palmeiras have found league goals hard to come by this term and will have to make do without two of their forwards here, with Lopez and Endrick suspended.
Having taken four points in two games against Vasco da Gama and Atletico Mineiro, Criciuma have shown they are more than capable of getting results in the top flight, and we feel they will be able to earn a share of the points in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Criciuma win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.13) 
