MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 19:21:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 0
Carrick

Heatley (49'), Owens (65')
Clarke (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Forsythe (42'), Mitchell (62')
Forsythe (60')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 2-1 Crusaders
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-2 Larne
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
55.48% (-0.204 -0.2) 23.3% (0.125 0.13) 21.22% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.61% (-0.273 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.54% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)47.46% (0.428 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.33% (-0.394 -0.39)69.68% (0.399 0.4)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (-0.223 -0.22)16.95% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.96% (-0.403 -0.4)47.04% (0.407 0.41)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (-0.157 -0.16)36.66% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-0.159 -0.16)73.45% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 55.47%
    Carrick Rangers 21.22%
    Draw 23.29%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 55.47%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.22%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Carrick
0-1
Crusaders

McGuckin (76'), Macuilaitis (81'), Glendinning (89')
Lowry (45')
Robinson (58'), Heatley (87'), Joe Burns (89'), Larmour (90')
Aug 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Crusaders
9-0
Carrick
Heatley (11'), Kennedy (21', 25' pen., 28', 40'), Lowry (47'), Joe Burns (54'), Callacher (63'), Teelan (79')
Clarke (74')

Crowe (68'), Andrews (86')
Cherry (24')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Crusaders
3-0
Carrick
Clarke (66'), Owens (80'), Caddell (87')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Carrick
0-3
Crusaders
Heatley (10'), Forsythe (43', 50')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Carrick
4-3
Crusaders
Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')
Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7ColeraineColeraine177462822625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!