National League North | Gameweek 19
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Curzon Ashton1 - 0Southport
Spencer (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Southport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marine AFC 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: King's Lynn 1-0 Southport
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Southport had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.
Result | ||
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Southport |
38.78% ( -6.09) | 26.69% ( 0.87) | 34.52% ( 5.21) |
Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.77% ( -1.98) | 53.23% ( 1.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.21% ( -1.71) | 74.79% ( 1.7) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( -4) | 26.78% ( 3.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.94% ( -5.58) | 62.06% ( 5.58) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% ( 2.54) | 29.3% ( -2.54) |