Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 26.31% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.18%).