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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Swansea logo

Derby
vs.
Swansea

Coverage of the Championship clash between Derby County and Swansea City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Preston vs. Derby
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, November 10 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Swansea vs. Leeds
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 26.31% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.18%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawSwansea City
48.07% (0.746 0.75) 25.62% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 26.31% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-0.305 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.81% (-0.135 -0.13)52.19% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (-0.116 -0.12)73.9% (0.113 0.11)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.274 0.27)21.72% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (0.419 0.42)54.88% (-0.422 -0.42)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.32% (-0.621 -0.62)34.67% (0.618 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.663 -0.66)71.4% (0.65900000000001 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 48.06%
    Swansea City 26.31%
    Draw 25.62%
Derby CountyDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.78% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.093000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.31%

Who will win Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby and Swansea?

Derby County
Draw
Swansea City
Derby County
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Swansea City
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swansea
2-1
Derby
Piroe (8', 16')
Grimes (68'), Wolf (84')
Lawrence (22' pen.)
Morrison (81')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
0-0
Swansea
Forsyth (45'), Willis (82'), Byrne (89')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Swansea
2-1
Derby
Whittaker (63'), Roberts (66')
Whittaker (62'), Lowe (67')
Lawrence (48')
Byrne (26')
Dec 16, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Derby
2-0
Swansea

Ayew (67')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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