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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Stockport County |
19.47% ( 0.03) | 22.59% ( 0.01) | 57.94% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.18% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.31% ( -0.01) | 46.69% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% ( -0.01) | 68.95% ( 0) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.99% ( 0.03) | 38.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.22% ( 0.02) | 74.78% ( -0.03) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.17% ( -0.02) | 15.82% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55% ( -0.03) | 45% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 19.47% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 11.09% 0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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