Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
40.03% ( -0.53) | 24.27% ( -0.18) | 35.7% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 60.31% ( 0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7% ( 0.96) | 42.3% ( -0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.29% ( 0.95) | 64.71% ( -0.95) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.77% ( 0.16) | 21.23% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.86% ( 0.25) | 54.14% ( -0.25) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( 0.83) | 23.43% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.57% ( 1.2) | 57.43% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.18% Total : 35.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 15 |
8 | Raith Rovers | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Greenock MortonMorton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 29 | -23 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |