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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Gillingham

Harrogate
5 - 1
Gillingham

O'Connor (60'), Daly (68', 70'), Muldoon (90+3'), Odoh (90+5')
Dooley (15'), March (55'), Sutton (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lapslie (41')
Hutton (59'), Andrews (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Crewe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Gillingham

With Harrogate and Gillingham in contention for a playoff spot, we anticipate an action-packed contest at the EnviroVent Stadium, with both sides going all out for the result. However, we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGillingham
30.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)48.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.020999999999997 0.02)70.32% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75% (0.01700000000001 0.02)29.25% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.21% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.12% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 30.76%
    Gillingham 44%
    Draw 25.24%
Harrogate TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.83%
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 7.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Gillingham

Harrogate Town
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Gillingham
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Gillingham
1-0
Harrogate
Williams (90+4')
Williams (35'), Williams (59'), Masterson (64')

Ramsay (61')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Gillingham
0-2
Harrogate

Adelakun (45'), Wright (53'), Baggott (69'), Reeves (71'), Lee (87')
Daly (26'), Pattison (86')
Mattock (5'), Pattison (34'), Ramsay (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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