Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
41.66% ( 0.06) | 26.88% ( -0.04) | 31.45% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.35% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.34% ( 0.16) | 54.66% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.01% ( 0.13) | 75.99% ( -0.13) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( 0.11) | 25.88% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( 0.14) | 60.86% ( -0.14) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.94% ( 0.07) | 32.06% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.46% ( 0.08) | 68.54% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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