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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.93%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.11%) and 0-1 (6.94%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
24.76% ( -0.04) | 21.3% ( -0) | 53.93% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.76% ( -0.02) | 34.24% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.86% ( -0.03) | 56.14% ( 0.03) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.72% ( -0.04) | 26.28% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.6% ( -0.06) | 61.4% ( 0.06) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( 0.01) | 12.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.73% ( 0.01) | 39.27% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.52% 2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.76% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.3% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.34% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.33% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 53.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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