Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
42.79% ( 0.09) | 24.94% ( 0.03) | 32.28% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.98% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% ( -0.17) | 46.25% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.46% ( -0.16) | 68.54% ( 0.16) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.38% ( -0.03) | 21.63% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.26% ( -0.04) | 54.74% ( 0.05) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.7% ( -0.16) | 27.31% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.25% ( -0.21) | 62.75% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |