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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Cardiff City |
51.74% ( 0.1) | 24.28% ( 0.13) | 23.97% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.33% ( -0.77) | 48.67% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.21% ( -0.71) | 70.78% ( 0.71) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.2% ( -0.26) | 18.79% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.79% ( -0.43) | 50.21% ( 0.43) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.24% ( -0.63) | 34.76% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.51% ( -0.67) | 71.49% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.75% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 23.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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