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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Birmingham logo

Leeds
3 - 0
Birmingham

Bamford (34'), James (45+1'), Summerville (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Stansfield (20'), Sunjic (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Leeds
Friday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Birmingham City

Leeds have fallen short of their normal standards in the last two matches, but the arrival of a Birmingham side who struggle on their travels to Elland Road represents a good chance to get back to winning ways. Blues ambled to a clean sheet on Friday night to secure an uninspiring point, but Rooney's men will face a much more potent attacking force in Yorkshire on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBirmingham City
66.46% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 18.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 14.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.83% (0.036999999999999 0.04)38.17% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.56% (0.039999999999999 0.04)60.44% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (0.019999999999996 0.02)10.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.48% (0.040000000000006 0.04)34.52% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.32% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.46%
    Birmingham City 14.71%
    Draw 18.82%
Leeds UnitedDrawBirmingham City
2-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 66.46%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.82%
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49%
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 14.71%

How you voted: Leeds vs Birmingham

Leeds United
83.3%
Draw
13.9%
Birmingham City
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Jutkiewicz (90+1' pen.)
Ruddy (90+3')

Ampadu (22'), Byram (45+1')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
4-5
Leeds
Bellingham (27'), Jutkiewicz (61', 91'), Bela (83')
Gardner (39'), Harding (48'), Mrabti (62'), Jutkiewicz (63'), Montero (92')
Costa (15'), Harrison (21'), Ayling (69'), Dallas (84'), Harding (94' og.)
Casilla (71'), Nketiah (73'), Ayling (88')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Adams (29')
Dean (48')

Alioski (30'), Jansson (76'), Hernandez (83')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leeds
1-2
Birmingham
Alioski (85')
Saiz (57'), Forshaw (90')
Adams (8', 29')
Gardner (41'), Morrison (67'), Kieftenbeld (79'), Pedersen (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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