We said: Leeds United 2-0 Birmingham City
Leeds have fallen short of their normal standards in the last two matches, but the arrival of a Birmingham side who struggle on their travels to Elland Road represents a good chance to get back to winning ways.
Blues ambled to a clean sheet on Friday night to secure an uninspiring point, but Rooney's men will face a much more potent attacking force in Yorkshire on Monday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 14.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.