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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 30, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Chelsea logo

Luton
2 - 3
Chelsea

Barkley (80'), Adebayo (87')
Brown (27'), Mengi (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Palmer (12', 70'), Madueke (37')
Disasi (87'), Gusto (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea survive a late Luton Town fightback to record a 3-2 win in their final outing of the calendar year.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Chelsea.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-3 Luton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawChelsea
21.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 22.13% (0.0010000000000012 0) 56.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)41.79% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.81% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)64.19% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)33.05% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)69.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29%14.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 21.64%
    Chelsea 56.23%
    Draw 22.12%
Luton TownDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 5.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.38%
2-0 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 21.64%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.93% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 6.32%
0-3 @ 5.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.03%
0-4 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.68%
1-5 @ 1.16%
0-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 56.23%

How you voted: Luton vs Chelsea

Luton Town
32.1%
Draw
16.3%
Chelsea
51.6%
184
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Chelsea
3-0
Luton
Sterling (17', 68'), Jackson (75')
Fernandez (73'), Maatsen (90')

Lockyer (27'), Nakamba (30'), Brown (78')
Mar 2, 2022 7.15pm
Fifth Round
Luton
2-3
Chelsea
Burke (2'), Cornick (40')
Muskwe (67')
Niguez (27'), Werner (68'), Lukaku (78')
Jan 24, 2021 12pm
Fourth Round
Chelsea
3-1
Luton
Abraham (11', 17', 74')
Clark (30')
Clark (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Manchester CityMan City127232217523
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Chelsea126422314922
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Brentford136252623320
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
9Aston Villa125431919019
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
11Bournemouth135352019118
12Fulham125341717018
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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