MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 21:11:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Heidenheim

Mainz
0 - 1
Heidenheim


Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 Heidenheim

While a draw will not be surprising, Mainz could inflict another away loss on Heidenheim, whose next defeat on the road would be their seventh. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHeidenheim
47.47% (0.184 0.18) 23.69% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 28.84% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.4% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.76% (0.133 0.13)42.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.134 0.13)64.64% (-0.131 -0.13)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.122 0.12)17.99% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.21 0.21)48.85% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)27.57% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)63.09% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 47.47%
    Heidenheim 28.84%
    Draw 23.69%
Mainz 05DrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.84%

How you voted: Mainz vs Heidenheim

Mainz 05
53.3%
Draw
26.7%
Heidenheim
20.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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