/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fmallog.png)
-
Erik Botheim
21'
-
Sergio Pena
26'
-
Hugo Bolin
40'
-
Isaac Kiese Thelin
57'
-
I. Kiese Thelin
63'
-
Johan Larsson
75'
-
Arber Zeneli
9'
-
Rami Kaib
50'
-
Camil Jebara
82'
-
Gabriel Busanello
90'+5'
Malmo vs Elfsborg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
Result
Malmo
70.22%
▲
(+0.15)
Draw
17.82%
▼
(-0.07)
Elfsborg
11.96%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
50.26%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.84%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
40.16%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
37.47%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
62.53%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
20.14%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
79.86%
▼
(-0.06)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5
89.74%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
10.26%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
66.37%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
33.63%
▼
(-0.13)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5
56.01%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
43.99%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
19.88%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
80.12%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
Malmo
70.21%
Draw
17.82%
Elfsborg
11.96%
Malmo
2-0
@
11.7%
▲
(+0.02)
1-0 @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 70.21%
1-0 @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 70.21%
Draw
1-1
@
8.44%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.82%
0-0 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.82%
Elfsborg
0-1
@
3.71%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 11.96%
1-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 11.96%
Head to Head
-
Jalal Abdulai
25'
-
Arber Zeneli
34'
-
Simon Hedlund
63'
-
Timothy Ouma
72'
-
Martin Olsson
74'
-
Johan Larsson
79'
-
Niklas Hult
90'+3'
-
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen
90'+5'
-
Otto Rosengren
51'
-
Sebastian Jorgensen
80'
-
Anders Christiansen
90'+1'
-
Soren Rieks
90'+2'
-
Anton Tinnerholm
90'+5'