Man City Women3 - 1Man Utd Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
for
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Manchester City Women 2-1 Manchester United Women
Man City have already beaten Man United on two occasions this season, and after winning each of their last five home matches, we think that the hosts will do enough to get the better of their city rivals on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
52.35% ( 0.05) | 22.04% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 62.46% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.04% ( -0.01) | 36.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.86% ( -0.01) | 59.14% ( 0.01) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.7% ( 0.01) | 14.3% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.88% ( 0.03) | 42.12% ( -0.03) |
Manchester United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.89% ( -0.04) | 27.11% ( 0.04) |