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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Harrogate Town

Morecambe
2 - 2
Harrogate

Slew (57'), Bedeau (90+2')
Brannan (0'), Slew (87'), Songo'o (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muldoon (44'), Thomson (83')
Burrell (90+4'), Belshaw (90+3'), Burrell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 5-0 Morecambe
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Tranmere
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Harrogate Town

 With just one point separating Morecambe and Harrogate Town in the table, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Mazuma Mobile Stadium with both sides going all out in search of a morale-boosting result. Both teams are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will settle for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
41.55% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 25.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 32.72% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42% (0.097000000000001 0.1)49.58% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39% (0.089000000000002 0.09)71.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)23.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (0.074000000000005 0.07)57.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.052999999999997 0.05)28.66% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.065999999999995 0.07)64.47% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 41.55%
    Harrogate Town 32.72%
    Draw 25.73%
MorecambeDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Harrogate
2-0
Morecambe
Armstrong (20' pen.), Thomson (66')
Sutton (47'), Falkingham (82'), Oxley (83')

Bedeau (20'), Rawson (20'), Major (45+4'), Love (90+1')
Rawson (64')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
2-1
Morecambe
O'Boyle (28'), Welch-Hayes (90+6')
Major (2')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Harrogate
0-1
Morecambe

Jones (72')
Smith (1' og.)
Knight-Percival (39'), Stockton (45'), Gibson (89'), O'Sullivan (90+4')
Knight-Percival (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Morecambe
1-0
Harrogate
Wildig (56')
Wildig (84'), Halstead (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
> League Two Full Table


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