Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.