Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.