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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
St. James' Park
Manchester City logo

Newcastle
2 - 3
Man City

Isak (35'), Gordon (37')
Guimaraes (21')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Silva (26'), De Bruyne (74'), Bobb (90+1')
Rodri (45+4'), Silva (55')

The Match

Match Report

Oscar Bobb nets a 91st-minute winner as Manchester City record a 3-2 victory over Newcastle United in Saturday's Premier League clash at St James' Park.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
31.97% (-0.139 -0.14) 24.26% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 43.77% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 59.2% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-0.156 -0.16)43.28% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32% (-0.153 -0.15)65.68% (0.152 0.15)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (-0.164 -0.16)26.06% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9% (-0.219 -0.22)61.1% (0.217 0.22)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)19.94% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)52.09% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 31.97%
    Manchester City 43.77%
    Draw 24.26%
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.97%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 43.77%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Man City

Newcastle United
17.4%
Draw
13.5%
Manchester City
69.1%
259
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 8pm
Third Round
Newcastle
1-0
Man City
Isak (53')
Guimaraes (69'), Tonali (82')

Akanji (65'), Phillips (66'), Guardiola (78')
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Man City
1-0
Newcastle
Alvarez (31')
Alvarez (46')

Gordon (23'), Tonali (34'), Joelinton (53'), Barnes (58'), Guimaraes (71')
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 26
Man City
2-0
Newcastle
Foden (15'), Silva (67')
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Newcastle
3-3
Man City
Almiron (28'), Wilson (39'), Trippier (54')
Guimaraes (8'), Schar (34'), Trippier (76'), Joelinton (90+2')
Gundogan (5'), Braut Haaland (60'), Silva (64')
Cancelo (18'), Stones (52')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 36
Man City
5-0
Newcastle
Sterling (19', 90+3'), Laporte (38'), Rodri (61'), Foden (90')
De Bruyne (75')

Guimaraes (31'), Burn (70'), Targett (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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