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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.06%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Burton Albion |
58.06% ( 1.32) | 20.48% ( 0.09) | 21.46% ( -1.42) |
Both teams to score 62.79% ( -2.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.79% ( -2.28) | 34.2% ( 2.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.9% ( -2.62) | 56.1% ( 2.61) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.31% ( -0.36) | 11.69% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.22% ( -0.78) | 36.77% ( 0.77) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( -2.47) | 28.9% ( 2.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% ( -3.17) | 64.77% ( 3.16) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.73) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.78% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.21% Total : 21.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 40 |
2 | Wrexham | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 21 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Burton Albion | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |