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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cardiff City |
51.4% ( 0.98) | 22.28% ( -0.15) | 26.32% ( -0.83) |
Both teams to score 62.31% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.53% ( 0.01) | 37.47% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.31% ( 0.01) | 59.69% ( -0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.21% ( 0.33) | 14.79% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.94% ( 0.63) | 43.06% ( -0.63) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.13% ( -0.58) | 26.87% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.82% ( -0.77) | 62.18% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.19% Total : 51.4% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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