Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.