Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Getafe |
46.93% ( 0.06) | 27.53% ( -0.01) | 25.54% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 45.1% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.29% ( 0.01) | 59.7% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.99% ( 0) | 80.01% ( -0) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.49% ( 0.03) | 25.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% ( 0.04) | 60.35% ( -0.04) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.54% ( -0.03) | 39.46% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.85% ( -0.03) | 76.15% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 25.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
3 | Real Madrid | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 30 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
7 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
8 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
12 | Sevilla | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |