Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.