Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.