Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
for
We said: Stoke City 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
A closely-fought contest was played out between these two teams last year, and another tight affair could be in store, although Brighton will be regarded as the favourites to progress to the fourth round. Neither side will be at full strength on Saturday, but the Seagulls boast a deeper squad and the players selected by De Zerbi should ultimately have the quality to get the job done against Championship opposition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
35.87% ( -0.06) | 25.39% ( -0) | 38.74% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
