Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Stoke2 - 1Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Stoke
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Stoke City 2-1 Derby County
After putting in a respectable performance against Premier League opposition in the EFL Cup, Stoke should be confident of earning three points at home to Derby. The Rams are winless from six Championship away matches so far, and we do not envisage the visitors breaking that streak in Staffordshire this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Derby County |
41.84% ( 0.22) | 25.45% ( 0.09) | 32.71% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
