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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
44.93% ( 0.69) | 24.3% ( -0.11) | 30.76% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 58.45% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% ( 0.21) | 44% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.61% ( 0.2) | 66.38% ( -0.21) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.26% ( 0.38) | 19.73% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.24% ( 0.62) | 51.76% ( -0.62) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.83% ( -0.28) | 27.17% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.42% ( -0.36) | 62.57% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 30.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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