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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 2
Middlesbrough

Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Hull City
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Swansea have the momentum heading into this contest and their supporters will expect another strong result. However, Boro have reached a point under Carrick where they need another winning run, and that extra determination may see them get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
37.47% (-0.629 -0.63) 23.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 39.18% (0.607 0.61)
Both teams to score 63.98% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (-0.136 -0.14)37.61% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.15% (-0.145 -0.14)59.84% (0.145 0.15)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.36 -0.36)20.41% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (-0.57599999999999 -0.58)52.85% (0.575 0.58)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (0.221 0.22)19.61% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (0.358 0.36)51.55% (-0.359 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 37.47%
    Middlesbrough 39.18%
    Draw 23.34%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.078 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 39.18%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
27.3%
Draw
31.8%
Middlesbrough
40.9%
22
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-0
Swansea
Jones (26')
McNair (70')

Paterson (45')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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