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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Valencia logo

Villarreal
1 - 0
Valencia

Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ozkacar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, March 9 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-2 Valencia

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are predicting goals on Sunday. Villarreal are in excellent form, but Valencia will be comfortably the fresher of the two teams, and we are expecting Los Che to claim a share of the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawValencia
54.63% (0.191 0.19) 23.45% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 21.91% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.202 0.2)47.29% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (0.187 0.19)69.51% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (0.143 0.14)17.19% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (0.251 0.25)47.46% (-0.25 -0.25)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)35.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 54.63%
    Valencia 21.91%
    Draw 23.45%
VillarrealDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 21.91%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valencia

Villarreal
50.0%
Draw
32.3%
Valencia
17.7%
62
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
3Real Madrid1393128111730
4Villarreal137422521425
5Mallorca157351513224
6Athletic Bilbao146532013723
7Osasuna146441922-322
8GironaGirona146352018221
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad145361111018
11Celta Vigo155372327-418
12Sevilla145361318-518
13Rayo Vallecano134451314-116
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe142751011-113
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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