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Attendance: 29,455
Nottingham Forest logo
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
 
Leeds logo

2-0

Ameobi (31'), Walker (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole provides team news, predicted lineups and a full preview of Saturday's Championship fixture between Nottingham Forest and Leeds United.

Nottingham Forest take on Leeds United at the City Ground on Saturday evening with the opportunity to close the gap on the second-placed Yorkshire giants to just one point.

As for the visitors, they make the trip to the East Midlands having lost three of their last four matches in the Championship.


Match preview

Angry Leeds manager Marcelo Bielsa on February 1, 2020© Reuters

Having put together a seven-match winning streak earlier in the season, Leeds appeared to be well on course for automatic promotion, but that feeling has changed over the past two months.

While Marcelo Bielsa's side are hanging onto second position behind West Bromwich Albion, just nine points have been recorded from as many matches.

That would have been significantly worse had they not fought back from two goals adrift to overcome Millwall, a miracle revival which could not be repeated at home to lowly Wigan Athletic last weekend.

Bielsa may feel that a raise in the stakes will benefit his players, something which they will encounter in meetings with promotion rivals Forest, Brentford and Bristol City.

However, more setbacks will inevitably lead to Leeds dropping into the playoffs, putting them at risk of missing out on the top six come the end of the campaign.

Like Saturday's opponents, Forest also encountered a surprise setback last weekend, losing at Birmingham City after initially taking the lead.

Sabri Lamouchi was naturally left frustrated with a result which ended a seven-match unbeaten streak at the second tier, a run which had taken the club to the brink of moving past Leeds.

Nevertheless, with just four points separating the two teams heading into their upcoming clash, as well as Forest possessing the same margin over seventh-placed Preston North End, Lamouchi will put losing at St Andrew's into context.

Forest head into Saturday's showdown having netted in their last nine Championship fixtures, although top scorer Lewis Grabban has only netted twice in his most recent five outings.

Nottingham Forest Championship form: WDWDWL
Nottingham Forest form (all competitions): LDWDWL

Leeds United Championship form: WDLLWL
Leeds United form (all competitions): DLLLWL


Team News

Nottingham Forest boss Sabri Lamouchi on February 1, 2020© Reuters

Lamouchi could hand a first start to Adama Diakhaby, who has recently joined Forest on a loan deal from Huddersfield Town.

That would likely see Sammy Ameobi drop down to the substitutes' bench, while Alfa Semedo is pushing for his first start since the FA Cup defeat at Chelsea.

As for Leeds, Bielsa continues to be without the services of Kalvin Phillips, who serves the last match of his three-game suspension.

Jean-Kevin Augustin will hope to feature among the replacements for the first time after signing on loan from RB Leipzig.

However, no changes are expected to the first XI with Bielsa tending to keep faith in his senior players.

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Cash, Figueirdo, Worrall, Ribeiro; Watson, Yates; Lolley, Silva, Diakhaby; Grabban

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Casilla; Ayling, Cooper, White, Alioski; Klich, Hernandez, Dallas; Costa, Harrison, Bamford


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Leeds United

With Leeds performing as they are, we cannot back them to pick up any points this weekend. While Forest were stunned by Birmingham in their last outing, Lamouchi will expect a positive response from his team at the City Ground.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a win it was 1-0 (5.82%).


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Nottingham Forest boss Sabri Lamouchi on February 1, 2020
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
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3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
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