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Leeds logo
Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Everton logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Everton

Klich (41'), Raphinha (72')
Cooper (28'), Bamford (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Calvert-Lewin (30' pen.), Gray (50')
Mina (37'), Digne (68'), Coleman (77'), Doucoure (82')

Preview: Leeds United vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leeds United will be looking to recover from last weekend's 5-1 defeat to Manchester United when they continue their Premier League campaign at home to Everton on Saturday afternoon.

The Whites found it difficult against Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's side in their season opener, but Everton started life under Rafael Benitez with an impressive 3-1 victory over Southampton at Goodison Park.


Match preview

Leeds United boss Marcelo Bielsa pictured on July 31, 2021© Reuters

Leeds impressed on their return to the top flight last season, picking up 59 points from 38 matches to claim ninth, just two points behind eighth-place Arsenal and three points behind seventh-place Tottenham Hotspur.

The Whites also ended the 2020-21 campaign in excellent fashion, losing just one of their last 11 matches, but there is no getting away from the fact that it was a tough match for Marcelo Bielsa's side against Man United.

Luke Ayling actually equalised for Leeds in the early stages of the second half at Old Trafford, but Solskjaer's team then scored four times without reply to make it a resounding win, and it will be fascinating to see what type of response there is from the former Championship side at Elland Road this weekend.

Leeds have signed both Junior Firpo and Kristoffer Klaesson this summer, while Jack Harrison has made a permanent move to Elland Road from Manchester City, and Bielsa admitted during Thursday's press conference that the club are unlikely to make any more new signings in the current window.

The Whites have a busy end to the month, as they will take on League One outfit Crewe Alexandra in the EFL Cup next week before finishing August with a trip to Burnley in the Premier League; September will then begin with a home match against title hopefuls Liverpool.

Everton's Dominic Calvert-Lewin celebrates scoring against Southampton in the Premier League on August 14, 2021© Reuters

Everton, meanwhile, fell behind against Southampton last weekend, with a mistake from Michael Keane allowing Che Adams to feed Adam Armstrong, who expertly picked out the top corner on his debut.

The Toffees struggled to get going for much of the first half against the Saints but equalised in the 47th minute through Richarlison, before Abdoulaye Doucoure and Dominic Calvert-Lewin both netted late on.

It was an incredibly important victory for the Merseyside giants in their first competitive match under Benitez, who will know that another positive result against Leeds would lead them nicely into their next two league matches with Brighton & Hove Albion and Burnley.

Everton have only acquired three new players this summer, bringing in Asmir Begovic, Andros Townsend and Demarai Gray, and it will be fascinating to see whether any more new signings arrive before the deadline.

The Toffees were excellent on their travels in the Premier League last season, boasting the fourth-best record, suffering just four defeats, and they recorded a 2-1 victory in the corresponding match in 2020-21.

Leeds United Premier League form:
  • L

Everton Premier League form:
  • W



Team News

Kalvin Phillips pictured in action for Leeds in September 2020© Reuters

Leeds boss Bielsa revealed during Thursday's press conference that Diego Llorente is still at least one week away from being available for selection, but Kalvin Phillips could return to the starting XI.

Phillips did not play against Man United due to a lack of fitness, but the midfielder is likely to feature here, with Rodrigo and Robin Koch potentially both dropping out of the side.

Stuart Dallas could move from left-back to central midfield, with Junior Firpo coming in for his full debut, but Bielsa is likely to resist the temptation to make wholesale changes.

Patrick Bamford, Harrison and Raphinha are set to continue in the attacking positions, while Pascal Struijk could keep his spot at the back despite finding it difficult at Old Trafford.

As for Everton, Jarrad Branthwaite will again miss out through injury, but Ben Godfrey and Jean-Philippe Gbamin could both be available, having missed out against Southampton due to the rules on self-isolation.

Moise Kean and James Rodriguez are still doubts for the same reason, while Andre Gomes has a knock and will need to be assessed ahead of kickoff on Saturday afternoon.

Godfrey could replace Mason Holgate in the middle of the defence, but it might otherwise be the same side that started against the Saints, with Richarlison, Gray and Townsend supporting Calvert-Lewin.

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Ayling, Struijk, Cooper, Firpo; Raphinha, Dallas, Phillips, Klich, Harrison; Bamford

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Godfrey, Keane, Digne; Allan, Doucoure; Townsend, Gray, Richarlison; Calvert-Lewin


SM words green background

We say: Leeds United 1-1 Everton

Leeds will be desperate to bounce back from their opening-weekend loss, but Benitez will believe that he can exploit the home side's weaknesses on Saturday afternoon. We are actually predicting a tight affair in terms of the scoreline, with the two teams being made to settle for a share of the spoils at Elland Road.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Leeds vs Everton

Leeds United
33.6%
Draw
25.5%
Everton
40.9%
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Everton's Dominic Calvert-Lewin celebrates scoring their first goal on May 9, 2021
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