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Attendance: 35,483
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Reading logo

1-0

Hernandez (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Leeds United vs. Reading - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Reading, including team news and predicted lineups.

Leeds United will be looking to make it back-to-back Championship victories when they welcome Reading to Elland Road on Saturday afternoon.

The Whites, who remain second in the table, picked up three much-needed points against Bristol City last weekend, while Reading impressively won 3-0 at Sheffield Wednesday in their last match.


Match preview

Leeds United's Luke Ayling celebrates scoring their first goal on February 15, 2020© Reuters

There was huge pressure on Leeds to beat Bristol City last weekend, and a first-half goal from Luke Ayling proved enough for Marcelo Bielsa's side to record just their second league victory of 2020.

The Whites entered last weekend's match off the back of a 1-1 draw at Brentford, and the two positive results have left them second in the table, three points clear of third-placed Fulham.

Bielsa's side are also only four points off leaders West Bromwich Albion, showing that first position is still very much open for the team if they can put together a consistent run of results.

Both Sheffield Wednesday and Wigan Athletic have won at Elland Road since the turn of the year, though, while Millwall scored twice in a 3-2 loss at the end of last month.

The fact that Reading will enter this match off the back of such a strong performance last weekend puts even more pressure on Leeds, who will be desperate to right the wrongs from the 2018-19 campaign.

Reading manager Mark Bowen on February 15, 2020© Reuters

Reading actually finished third in the Championship at the end of the 2016-17 campaign but have posted 20th in their last two seasons at this level. It has been another inconsistent term for the Royals, although they are 11 points clear of the relegation zone.

The table suggests that the club will not have any relegation fears in the final months of the season, and they are actually only six points off 11th-placed Swansea City on the same number of matches.

Mark Bowen's side will be the underdogs heading into this weekend's contest but as mentioned, recorded a 3-0 victory away to Sheffield Wednesday last weekend. They also only narrowly lost against West Brom on February 12, showing that they can compete against the better sides in the division.

Reading have lost each of their last three Championship matches with Leeds, though, and suffered a 1-0 defeat in the reverse match at the Madejski Stadium back in November.

Leeds Championship form: LWLLDW

Reading Championship form: DLDDLW
Reading form (all competitions): LDWDLW


Team News

Adam Forshaw in action for Leeds United on March 30, 2019© Reuters

Leeds will be without Adam Forshaw for the remainder of the season following hip surgery, but Bielsa otherwise has a fully-fit squad to choose from with Tyler Roberts making the bench last weekend.

Kiko Casilla will again keep his spot between the sticks, and it seems likely that the same XI that started the win over Bristol City will take to the field.

Jean-Kevin Augustin featured for the third time off the bench last time out, but the loan arrival is unlikely to displace Patrick Bamford at the tip of the home side's attack.

Pablo Hernandez is also expected to keep his spot despite recent criticism of the Spaniard's form.

As for Reading, Jordan Obita is facing a late fitness test on an ankle injury, while Pele, Matt Miazga, Tom McIntyre, Lucas Joao, Chris Gunter and Lucas Boye are all unavailable.

Bowen could opt for the same XI that started the three-goal success over the Owls, where centre-forward George Puscas grabbed his eighth Championship goal of the campaign.

Leeds possible starting lineup:
Casilla; Ayling, White, Cooper, Dallas; Costa, Hernandez, Phillips, Klich, Harrison; Bamford

Reading possible starting lineup:
Rafael; Yiadom, Morrison, Moore, Richards; Swift, Rinomhota; Meite, Olise, Ejaria; Puscas


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Leeds 2-0 Reading

Reading have a number of injury problems heading into the match, but Leeds are in fairly good shape at the moment. The Whites have been much better in their last two fixtures after a tough period, and we expect them to pick up another three important points on Saturday afternoon.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 67.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for had a probability of 12.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a win it was 0-1 (4.79%).


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Watford158162322125
5Burnley146621761124
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom14572148622
7Millwall146441712522
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


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