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Leganes logo
La Liga | Gameweek 33
Jun 30, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Sevilla logo

Leganes
0 - 3
Sevilla


Amadou (17'), Mesa (52'), Rosales (75'), Garrido (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Torres (23', 35'), El Haddadi (82')
Kounde (54'), Gudelj (56'), Jordan (68')

Preview: Leganes vs. Sevilla - predictions, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Leganes and Sevilla, including team news and predicted lineups.

Sevilla will be looking to end their four-game wait for a victory in La Liga when they take on relegation-threatened Leganes at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque on Tuesday.

Julen Lopetegui's side have drawn their last four matches to leave themselves with work to do in the race for a top-four finish, while Leganes have also struggled for victories and are seemingly destined for the drop.


Match preview

Sevilla's Fernando celebrates scoring their second goal against Real Betis on June 11, 2020© Reuters

Sevilla made a winning return to La Liga action earlier this month with a 2-0 triumph over local rivals Real Betis, but since then they have only picked up four points from a possible 12.

As well as playing out a respectable goalless draw with Barcelona, Los Nervionenses have dropped points against Levante, Villarreal and Real Sociedad.

Friday's draw with Sociedad was arguably a point gained in many ways, though, as Lucas Ocampos scored from the penalty spot seven minutes from time to cancel out Kiko Olivas's first-half goal.

The succession of stalemates leaves Sevilla - unbeaten in 11 matches in all competitions - fourth in the table and now just five points ahead of Getafe, who play their game in hand against Sociedad on Monday.

Finishing in the top four was always the aim for Lopetegui, but in a season that has seen Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid and Barcelona struggle, it may well be a case of what could have been had his side shown a little more consistency at times.

Sevilla manager Julen Lopetegui pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Tuesday's trip to the Spanish capital does at least provide Sevilla with a chance to get back to winning ways against a Leganes side who have won just one of their last 10 matches.

That victory came against Villarreal in their last match prior to the coronavirus-enforced hiatus. Since returning to action, Los Pepineros have lost three and drawn two.

Saturday's defeat to Osasuna was as cruel as they come, with Enric Gallego netting a winner in the sixth minute of added time at El Sadar Stadium.

Leganes are now seven points from safety, a gap that could widen should 17th-place Eibar pick up a positive result in their game in hand against Granada on Sunday.

Either way, Javier Aguirre's side are running out of time to put victories on the board. After four seasons in La Liga, a return to the second tier now seems increasingly likely.

Leganes' La Liga form: WLLDDL

Sevilla's La Liga form: DWDDDD


Team News

Sevilla's Lucas Ocampos pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Alexander Szymanowski has returned to training for the hosts and is expected to play again this season, although this match will come too soon.

Guido Carrillo and Oscar Rodriguez are the only other players Aguirre is without, struggling with thigh and muscle problems respectively.

Sevilla have reported a clean bill of health ahead of this midweek tussle, though Lopetegui may opt to make some changes to his side.

Oliver Torres and Joan Jordan are battling for a starting spot in central midfield, while Suso is pushing for inclusion after being named on the bench again last time out.

Leganes possible starting lineup:
Cuellar; Awaziem, Tarin, Siovas; Ruibal, Gil, Perez, Mesa, Rodrigues; Guerrero, Assale

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Vaclik; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Escudero; Vazquez, Fernando, Banega; Ocampos, De Jong, Munir


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Leganes 0-1 Sevilla

Three points will have to be the target for Leganes if they are to give themselves a realistic chance of avoiding the drop. Sevilla also have a lot to play for, however, and we are backing them to get their season back on track with victory in midweek.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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